The CDU’s dramatic shift in the polls from quiet erosion into something more reminiscent of an implosion can be attributed to a – partly self-induced – leadership crisis.
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The party can thank the unshakeable popularity of outgoing Chancellor Angela Merkel for a significant portion of its remaining support in recent years. The boots her successor is supposed to fill are very large indeed, and there are doubts over whether Armin Laschet has the necessary stature for this monumental task.
The challenges, criticism, and backstabbing from within his own party, even before his nomination, were not exactly helpful.
His media image quickly crystallised into one of a candidate of dubious competence in matters of policy and limited ability as a campaigner, but with a great talent for gaffes.
In media coverage, everything Laschet came up with was interpreted as a tactical stunt, hastily thought up in a desperate attempt to keep the ship from sinking.
Of course, this kind of news coverage can only further undermine the candidate’s credibility among voters. For Laschet, it appeared impossible to escape this narrative.